According to the statistical data of National Bureau of Statistics of China, the total coke output in China in November 2006 was up to 25.544 million tons, with year-on-year increase of 4.168 million tons, up 19.5%, increasing by 0.624 million tons compared with that of October 2006, with the link relative increase of 2.6%. From January to November, the accumulative output was up to 252.99 million tons, with year-on-year accumulative growth of 17.5%. In November 2006, the daily coke output was 0.851 million tons. From January to October in 2006, the accumulative coke output for those large-scale coking enterprises was 226.21 million tons, up 17.18 percent year on year; From January to October, exported coke was 12.02 million tons, up 13.3 percent year on year. From January to October in 2006 saw an apparent consumption of 214.19 million tons, up 17.41 percent year on year, dropping 9.26 percent compared with 2005. By means of reducing and restricting the coke output, the balance of output and sales was achieved, with a production/sales rate of more than 99%. In 2006, the increase of global pig iron output quickened, and Chinese exported coke also increased. From January to October in 2006, the coke output (except China) increased by 11.28 million tons, up 3.01 percent year on year. In 2006, Chinese coke export increased, and from January to October, China exported 12.02 million tons of coke, up 13.30 percent year on year, with the average export price of 137.14 dollars/ton, dropping 56.57 dollars/ton year on year. Actually, the price of exported coke in China was lower than the average coke production cost in the international market.
Chart: Trend of Coke in months of 2006 Unit: Ten Thousand Tons
Sources: Huajing Viewpoint Research Center
The coke output has leaped forward greatly, with the daily output of 0.6035 million tons increasing to 0.85147 million tons, which can not only meet the demands of coke for the domestic output of pig iron but also support the international steel market to some extent.
From January to May in 2007, the accumulative coke output was 128, 023, 233.1 tons, among which the output of North China was 61, 090, 420.77 tons, up 26.71 percent year on year, accounting for 47% of the national total; the output of Northeast China was 10, 747, 792 tons, up 14.46 percent year on year, accounting for 8% of the national total; the output of East China was 23, 685, 602.59 tons, up 23.32 percent year on year, accounting for 19% of the national total; the out put of Middle China was 11, 673, 870 tons, up 18.56 percent year on year, accounting for 9% of the national total; the output of South China was 1, 494, 556 tons, down 4 percent year on year, accounting 1% of the national total; the output of Southwest China was 12, 205, 601.22 tons, up 11.4 percent year on year, accounting 10% of the national total; the output of Northwest China was 7, 125, 391 tons, up 17.89 percent year on year, accounting for 6% of the national total.
Chart: Proportion of Coke Production in China during January-May, 2007
Sources: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Ten million tons of inefficient coke capacities would be eliminated in 2007 and 80 million tons within 5 years. National Development and Reform Commission has emphasized for many times that, at present there are about 320 million tons of coking capacity in China and 108 enterprises in accordance with the industry admittance qualification, with the capacity of 125 million tons, accounting 40% of that of the whole country. In 2006, 15 million tons of small mechanical coke capacities and 6 million tons of primitive coke capacities were eliminated. At present, there are 80 million tons of inefficient capacities in total need to be eliminated in Guizhou, Shaanxi, Yunnan and Ningxia. Meanwhile, from 2007 to 2008, there are 90 coke ovens under construction or going to be constructed, with the capacity of 50 million tons, for which in 2007, there are 48 coke ovens are put into production, with the capacity of 25 million tons. In 2006, the coke output of independent coking enterprises sped up continuously, for which the increase speed is faster than the coke growth of steel enterprises. The coke output increase is more predominant than the elimination of inefficient capacity in China, the domestic coke market capacity is 300 million to 350 million tons, and the domestic demands of steel are relatively saturated.
Along with the increasing industrialization, urbanization and new rural construction in China, the demands of steel will also increase and thus promote the demands of coke and development of the coke industry. In 2006, the domestic coke consumption was up to about 275 million tons; in 2007, the output of raw steel and pig iron increased by 10%. We anticipate that in 2007 the coke consumption in China will exceed 295 million tons.
This report elaborately describes the operation environment of the coke industry in China, mainly studies and forecasts the long-term and short-term trends of demands of coke for its down-stream industries, and puts forward suggestions on investment and strategies of the coke industry development aiming at the current chances and challenges that the coke industry faces. With precise content, full and accurate data and intuitionistic diagrams, this report can help coking enterprises grasp the development trends of coke industry and establish correct competition strategies and investment policies. The main data comes from professional authoritative research organizations including National Bureau of Statistics of China, State Information Center, China Customs and China Coke Industry Association, etc. as well as from our center’s field research. This report has integrated the data resources of many authoritative organizations and expert resources, selected accurate, valuable and suitable information from abundant data, conducted analysis and research in aspects of theory, practice, macro view and micro view in combination with the environment of coke industry, and thus come to the conclusion and opinion featuring integration of anticipation, practicability and feasibility. The expert team has spent one year in completing this report after market survey and data collection of our center, which can be important decision-making basis for coking enterprises, related investment companies and governmental departments to grasp the industry development trend, look into the industry competition pattern, avoid operation and investment risks, and make correct strategies and policies of competition and investment.
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