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2007-2010 Analysis Report on China’s Coke Industry Market Operation and Investment Strategy


【报告名称】: 2007-2010 Analysis Report on China’s Coke Industry Market Operation and Investment Strategy

【关 键 字】: 2007-2010 Analysis Report on China’s Coke Industry Market Operation and Investment Strategy 市场研究报告

【出版日期】: 2007年8月

【交付方式】: EMAIL电子版或EMS特快专递

【报告页码】: 148页

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  描 述


According to the statistical data of National Bureau of Statistics of China, the total coke output in China in November 2006 was up to 25.544 million tons, with year-on-year increase of 4.168 million tons, up 19.5%, increasing by 0.624 million tons compared with that of October 2006, with the link relative increase of 2.6%. From January to November, the accumulative output was up to 252.99 million tons, with year-on-year accumulative growth of 17.5%. In November 2006, the daily coke output was 0.851 million tons. From January to October in 2006, the accumulative coke output for those large-scale coking enterprises was 226.21 million tons, up 17.18 percent year on year; From January to October, exported coke was 12.02 million tons, up 13.3 percent year on year. From January to October in 2006 saw an apparent consumption of 214.19 million tons, up 17.41 percent year on year, dropping 9.26 percent compared with 2005. By means of reducing and restricting the coke output, the balance of output and sales was achieved, with a production/sales rate of more than 99%. In 2006, the increase of global pig iron output quickened, and Chinese exported coke also increased. From January to October in 2006, the coke output (except China) increased by 11.28 million tons, up 3.01 percent year on year. In 2006, Chinese coke export increased, and from January to October, China exported 12.02 million tons of coke, up 13.30 percent year on year, with the average export price of 137.14 dollars/ton, dropping 56.57 dollars/ton year on year. Actually, the price of exported coke in China was lower than the average coke production cost in the international market.
Chart: Trend of Coke in months of 2006   Unit: Ten Thousand Tons
 
Sources: Huajing Viewpoint Research Center
The coke output has leaped forward greatly, with the daily output of 0.6035 million tons increasing to 0.85147 million tons, which can not only meet the demands of coke for the domestic output of pig iron but also support the international steel market to some extent.
From January to May in 2007, the accumulative coke output was 128, 023, 233.1 tons, among which the output of North China was 61, 090, 420.77 tons, up 26.71 percent year on year, accounting for 47% of the national total; the output of Northeast China was 10, 747, 792 tons, up 14.46 percent year on year, accounting for 8% of the national total; the output of East China was 23, 685, 602.59 tons, up 23.32 percent year on year, accounting for 19% of the national total; the out put of Middle China was 11, 673, 870 tons, up 18.56 percent year on year, accounting for 9% of the national total; the output of South China was 1, 494, 556 tons, down 4 percent year on year, accounting 1% of the national total; the output of Southwest China was 12, 205, 601.22 tons, up 11.4 percent year on year, accounting 10% of the national total; the output of Northwest China was 7, 125, 391 tons, up 17.89 percent year on year, accounting for 6% of the national total.
Chart: Proportion of Coke Production in China during January-May, 2007
 
      Sources: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Ten million tons of inefficient coke capacities would be eliminated in 2007 and 80 million tons within 5 years. National Development and Reform Commission has emphasized for many times that, at present there are about 320 million tons of coking capacity in China and 108 enterprises in accordance with the industry admittance qualification, with the capacity of 125 million tons, accounting 40% of that of the whole country. In 2006, 15 million tons of small mechanical coke capacities and 6 million tons of primitive coke capacities were eliminated. At present, there are 80 million tons of inefficient capacities in total need to be eliminated in Guizhou, Shaanxi, Yunnan and Ningxia. Meanwhile, from 2007 to 2008, there are 90 coke ovens under construction or going to be constructed, with the capacity of 50 million tons, for which in 2007, there are 48 coke ovens are put into production, with the capacity of 25 million tons. In 2006, the coke output of independent coking enterprises sped up continuously, for which the increase speed is faster than the coke growth of steel enterprises. The coke output increase is more predominant than the elimination of inefficient capacity in China, the domestic coke market capacity is 300 million to 350 million tons, and the domestic demands of steel are relatively saturated.
Along with the increasing industrialization, urbanization and new rural construction in China, the demands of steel will also increase and thus promote the demands of coke and development of the coke industry. In 2006, the domestic coke consumption was up to about 275 million tons; in 2007, the output of raw steel and pig iron increased by 10%. We anticipate that in 2007 the coke consumption in China will exceed 295 million tons.
This report elaborately describes the operation environment of the coke industry in China, mainly studies and forecasts the long-term and short-term trends of demands of coke for its down-stream industries, and puts forward suggestions on investment and strategies of the coke industry development aiming at the current chances and challenges that the coke industry faces. With precise content, full and accurate data and intuitionistic diagrams, this report can help coking enterprises grasp the development trends of coke industry and establish correct competition strategies and investment policies. The main data comes from professional authoritative research organizations including National Bureau of Statistics of China, State Information Center, China Customs and China Coke Industry Association, etc. as well as from our center’s field research. This report has integrated the data resources of many authoritative organizations and expert resources, selected accurate, valuable and suitable information from abundant data, conducted analysis and research in aspects of theory, practice, macro view and micro view in combination with the environment of coke industry, and thus come to the conclusion and opinion featuring integration of anticipation, practicability and feasibility. The expert team has spent one year in completing this report after market survey and data collection of our center, which can be important decision-making basis for coking enterprises, related investment companies and governmental departments to grasp the industry development trend, look into the industry competition pattern, avoid operation and investment risks, and make correct strategies and policies of competition and investment.  

目 录


CHAPTER 1 GENERAL INTRODUCTION OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF COKE INDUSTRY
SECTION 1 DEFINITION AND CHARACTERISTICS OF COKE INDUSTRY 
I. Definition of Coke Industry 
II.Scarcity of Coke Resource 
III. Pollution and Its Influence of Coking Industry Environment 

IV. Capital Concentration of Coke Industry 
SECTION 2 INTRODUCTION OF COKE PRODUCTION TECHNIQUES AND INDUSTRIAL LINKS 
SECTION 3 IMPORTANCE OF COKE INDUSTRY FOR NATIONAL ECONOMY 
SECTION 4 NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL POLICY 

I. Coke Industrial Development Policies 
II. Chinese Coke Three-graded Management Methods
CHAPTER 2 STATUS OF INTERNATIONAL COKE INDUSTRY 
SECTION 1 INTRODUCTION OF COKE

I. Definition of coking
II. Quality Standard of metallurgical coke 
SECTION 2 PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF GLOBAL COKE 

I. Distribution of coking in the world 
II. Production 
III. Consuming 

IV. Analysis of balance of supply and demand 
SECTION 3  ANALYSIS ON INTERNATIONAL COKE PRICE

I. International coke price in recent years 

II.Analysis of the main factors influence on international coke price 

III. Prediction of the international coke price 
CHAPTER 3 CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT 
SECTION 1 PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY 

I. Production analysis

II. Consumption analysis 
SECTION 2 ANALYSIS ON PRICE OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY 

I. PRICE TREND IN RECENT YEARS

II.Analysis of factors that influence the price of Chinese coke
SECTION 3  FOREIGN TRADE OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY 49

I. Analysis on Import and Export Data 

II. Analysis of export market demand 
III. Characteristics of export 
SECTION 4 ANALYSIS OF THE PROFITS IN THREE TYPES OF CHINA’S COKE ENTERPRISE 

I. Upstream supplier 

II.Coke producing enterprise

III.The trader who has the right of coke export quota
CHAPTER 4 MARKET SUPPLY OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY DURING 2007-2010
SECTION 1 PRODUCTION OF CHINA’S COKE IN 2007
SECTION 2 DISTRIBUTION OF CHINA’S COKE OUTPUT IN 2007 
SECTION 3  ANALYSIS OF THE AGGREGATED SUPPLY OF COKE 
SECTION 4 ANALYSIS OF THE SUPPLY INSTRUCTION OF COKE 
SECTION  5  PROSPECT OF COKE SUPPLEMENT IN THREE YEARS
CHAPTER 5 FORECAST ON THE DEMAND OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY DURING 2007-2010
SECTION 1 FORECAST ON CHINA’S STEEL OUTPUT 

I. Forecast on the Prospect of Main Steel Consuming Industry 
SECTION 2  FORECAST ON DEMAND OF DOWNSTREAM INDUSTRIES IN CHINA

I. Chemical Industry

II.Predict of Growth Rate of Coke Industry besides Steel and Iron and Chemical Industry 
SECTION 3   TOTAL PREDICTION OF CHINA’S COKE DEMAND

I.Total Prediction of the Domestic Coke Demand 

II.Prediction of Net Export Demand 

III.Predict of Total Demand of Coke 
CHAPTER 6 ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY 
SECTION 1 STRUCTURE ANALYSIS OF THE CMPETITION OF COKE INDUSTRY 

I.The analysis of industrial concentration ratio 

II. The analysis of the import barriers 
SECTION 2 OPERATION ANALYSIS OF UPSTREAM OF COKING COAL INDUSTRY 

I. The distribution of domestic coking coal 

II. The analysis of supply and demand of coking coal 

III. The analysis of the price trend of coking coal 
SECTION 3 OPERATION ANALYSIS OF DOWNSTREAM OF IRON AND STEEL INDUSTRY 

I. The basic operate analysis of steel and iron industry 

II. The further predict of the development of steel and iron industry 
SECTION 4 ANALYSIS OF TRANSPORT ENVIRONMENT 
SECTION 5 ANALYSIS OF OUTER ENVIRONMENT 

I. the analysis of macro-environment 

II. The analysis of strategy 

III.the analysis of social environment 
CHAPTER 7  REGIONAL MARKET OPERATION ANALYSIS ON COKE INDUSTRY IN 2007 
SECTION 1  DISTRIBUTION OF COKE INDUSTRY IN CHINA 119
SECTION 2 ANALYSIS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF 2007 COKE INDUSTRY IN SHANXI PROVINCE 

I.Status in China and Changes of Shanxi Province Coke Industry

II.Analysis on competitive strength of Shanxi coke industry

III.Development of Shanxi coke industry in 2007 
SECTION 3  ANALYSIS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHANDONG COKE INDUSTRY IN 2007 

I.Status in China and Changes of Shandong Coke Industry

II.Analysis on competitive strength of Shanxi coke industry 
SECTION 4 ANALYSIS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHANGHAI COKE INDUSTRY IN 2007 

I. National Status and Changes of Shanghai Coke Industry 

II.Analysis on competitive strength of Shanxi coke industry 
CHAPTER 8 ANALYSIS OF KEY COKE MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISE IN CHINA 2007-2010 
SECTION 1 SHANXI COKING

I. Company Profile

II. Financial Status during 2006-2007 

III. Risk Analysis 
VI. Forecast of Performance 
SECTOR 2 ANTAI GROUP 

I. Company Profile 

II.Analysis on Financial Status during 2006-2007

III. Comparative Advantage

IV. Risk Analysis 
SECTOR 3 G GASIFICATION 

I. Company Profile 

II.Finacial Status during 2006-2007 

III. Analysis of Competitive Advantage for the Company 

IV. Analysis on the Company’s Future Development

V. Risk Analysis 
SECTOR 4 ANALYSIS OF HARD COKE PRODUCTION ABILITY FOR IRON & STEEL ENTERPRISES 
CHAPTER 9 STRATEGY ANALYSIS AND DEVELOPMENT TREND OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY DURING 2007 TO 2010 
SECTION 1 ANALYSIS AND JUDGMENT OF DEVELOPMENT TREND OF CHINA’S COKE MARKET 
SECTION 2 TREND ANALYSIS AND DEVELOPMENT SITUATION OF CHINA’S COAL INDUSTRY DURING 2007 AND 2010

I. the situation and trend of China’s coal industry 

II.the trend analysis of the coal economy increase method and development 

III.the strategy analysis of the healthy development of coal industry 
SECTION 3  DEVELOP ANALYSIS OF COKING INDUSTRY DURING THE 11TH FIVE YEARS PLAN 

I.the policy support of state 

II.the coal and power industries are beginning to cooperate 

III.the chose of linkage mode of coal and power 
SECTION 4 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY ANALYSIS OF CHINA’S COKE INDUSTRY DURING 2007 TO 2010 178

I.the replying strategy for the deficit of coke industry 

II.the strategy analysis of coke enterprises’ development 
CHAPTER 10 ANALYSIS OF THE INVESTMENT CHANCE AND RISK OF CHINESE COKE INDUSTRY FROM 2007 TO 2010
SECTION 1 INVESTMENT CHANCE OF COKE INDUSTRY 

I. Estimation of the industry’s general profit
 
II.Investment opportunity relative to the policy adjustment in the industry
 
III.Investment opportunity 
SECTION 2 INVESTMENT SUGGESTION TO THE COKE INDUSTRY 

I.Choice of the investment areas 

II.Pay attention to the enterprise’s type 
SECTION 3 ANALYSIS OF THE INVESTMENT RISK IN THE COKE INDUSTRY 

I. Market risk 

II.Risk of the raw material 

III.Technical risk 

IV.Policy risk 

V. Exportation risk 

VI. Competition risk 
Chart List
Chart 1 Coke used in the Industries 
Chart 2  Quality Standard of metallurgical coke 
Chart 3  Proportion of Global Coking Coke Reserves 
Chart 4  2001-2006 Coke Output in the Word 
Chart 5   Price of Exported Coke in China during 2002-2004  Unit: USD/tons 
Chart 6  Price and Amount of China’s Export Coke in the first 9 months of 2006 
Chart 7 International Coke Price Trend during 2002-2004 
Chart 8 Trend of Coke in the months of 2006   Unit: Ten Thousand Tons 
Chart 9 Trend of Daily Production of Coke in 2006 Unit: Ten Thousand Tons 
Chart 10 Price Index Changes of Coke in 2006 
Chart 11  Price Trend of Two Kinds of Cokes in 2006 
Chart 12  Purchase price of some factories in China in 2006 
Chart 13  Trend of Coke Export in 2006 Unit: Tons 
Chart 14  Changes of Accumulative Export of Coke   Unit: Tons 
Chart 15  Destination Country of China’s Coke Export in 2006 
Chart 16  Export Volume and Amount of Coke in 2006 
Chart 17 Main Financial Data of Xishan Coal & Power Co., Ltd. In 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 18  Main Financial Data of Antai Group in 2006   Unit: Yuan 
Chart 19  Production Data of China’s Coke during January-May, 2007   Unit: Tons 
Chart 20 Distribution of China’s Coke Output during January-May, 2007   Unit: Tons 
Chart 21  Distribution of China’s Coke Production during January-May, 2007 
Chart 22  2000~2010 China’s Automobile Output Trend 
Chart 23  1998~2002 China’s Steel Consumption in Ship-building Industry   Unit: Ten Thousand Tons 
Chart 24 2001~2010 Steel Consumption and Ships built Volume and Forecast in China’s Main Shipyard 
Chart 25  Steel Consumption for Main Production of Machinery Industry during 2005-2010 
Chart 26  China’s Crude Steel Output from 2001 to the first quarter of 2007 
Chart 27  Blast-furnace Cast Iron and Crude Steel Output during 2000~2010
Chart 28  Forecast on 2007~2008 Pig Iron and Crude Steel Output in China 
Chart 29  Forecast on China’s Iron Ore Output during 2007~2010 
Chart 30 Forecast on China’s Iron Ore Import during 2007~2008 84
Chart 31  Main Economic Index of China’s Chemical Industry in 2006
Chart 32  Growth rate of main Chemicals and production in 2004 and the first half year of 2005
Chart 33 Growth Rate of Main Chemicals and Output in 2006 and the first half year of 2007 
Chart 34  Growth rate % of Coke demand in Chemical Industry during 2007-2010 
Chart 35 Growth rate % of Coke demand in Industries except Steel and Chemical during 2007-2010 
Chart 36  Proportion of Shanxi Coke Output in China during January-May, 2007 
Chart 37  Proportion of Shandong Coke Output in China during January-May, 2007 
Chart 38  Proportion of Shanghai Coke Output in China during January-May, 2007 
Chart 39  Comparison of Shanghai Coke Output between 2006 and May, 2007  Unit: Ten Thousand Tons 
Chart 40 Profits of Shanxi Coking Group Co Ltd during 2001-2006   Unit: Yuan 
Chart 41  Profit Trend of Shanxi Coking Group Co Ltd during 2001-2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 42  2004-2006 Main Operating Business of Shanxi Coking Group Co Ltd   Unit: Yuan
Chart 43  Main Operation by Industry of Shanxi Coking Group Co Ltd in 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 44  Main Operation by Area of Shanxi Coking Group Co Ltd in 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 45 Changes of Coke price affected on the Business of Shanxi Coking Co., Ltd
Chart 46  Profit-making Status of Shanxi Antai Group during 2001-2006 Unit: Yuan 
Chart 47  Profit Trend of Shanxi Antai Group during 2001-2006 Unit: Yuan 
Chart 48  Main Operating Business by Industry of Shanxi Antai Group in 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 49  Main Operating Business by Area of Shanxi Antai Group in 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 50  Profit-making Status of Taiyuan Gasification Co., Ltd during 2001-2006  Unit: Yuan
Chart 51  Profit Trend of Taiyuan Gasification Co., Ltd during 2001-2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 52  Main Operating Business by Industry of Taiyuan Gasification Co., Ltd in 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 53  Main Operating Business by Product of Taiyuan Gasification Co., Ltd in 2006  Unit: Yuan 
Chart 54  Main Operating Business by Area of Taiyuan Gasification Co., Ltd in 2006   Unit: Yuan 
Chart 55  Planning Construction of Coke Oven during 2007-2008 
Chart 56  A Index of Domestic Ex-works including Tax of North Coke Union in 2006 
Chart 57  A Index of Domestic Ex-works including Tax of North Coke Union in 2006 
Chart 58 Forecast on Output and Production Capacity of Domestic Coke and Steel Industry  Unit: 0.1 billion Tons
Chart 59 Growth Rate Changes of China’s Raw Coal

 
相关链接:
· Forecast and Analysis on the Prospe 2007-9-24
 

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